Paths to victory, ignoring the ZOOOOOOOONEE, with odds from 5dimes.com:
Ben - Has no shot at the BCS championship, so he needs the Angels to win two straight and eliminate the Yankees (+600 - way too low, should be around +350), have the Angels go on to win the World Series (+1125 - again way too low, I'd put it at +800) and get a Giants (+950) or Steelers (+1050) Superbowl win. Total odds: 2%
Hermann - Essentially eliminated with the Dodgers loss.
Pat - Needs a Superbowl from either Atlanta (+2600 - seems low for a team with one loss) or Indy (+600) and a BCS championship from Alabama (+225) or Boise (+1500). Luckily he has two contenders in both sports, including the second best in each. Chances of winning both and having the Yankees fall: 2.8%
Scallet - I'm the only person left with a shot at all three remaining sports. I have two possibilities:
1. Phillies win World Series (+165) and either Texas wins the BCS championship (way too high at +500) or the Patriots win the Superbowl (also too high at +700).
2. The Angels win the Worlds Series and I win both football sides.
Chance of all Texas, the Phillies, and the Pats winning it all: .7% Chance of getting past Matt: 11.2%.
Therefore, Matt wins 85% of the time. However, there are a ton of points available in the NFL playoffs and there are probably some other chances for people to win - Ben winning the Zooooooonneeee league and having both the Steelers and Giants make a run, Pat getting a Boise State BCS championship over Alabama, etc. So it's probably closer to 80%.