The favorite is Contador, who I own. Has been dominant, winning all three major tours the past couple years. Has been tangentially tied to a much of scandals (as I just learned from his wikipedia page), so he is probably doping and even more likely to win.
Other contenders: Lance Armstrong (Patty's) who is generally second in the odds. He looked unremarkable in the Giro, but was hurt and may not have been trying. Hard to dismiss his record of success.
Andy Schleck (Zig) - Probably a future champ, but is young and doesn't do anything better than Contador. Among the best climbers, but weak in time trials.
Cadel Evans (unowned) - Strong cyclist and perfectly suited for the course, but kind of a choker.
Menchov (unowned) - won the Giro, so on fire. However that was a weak race and Contador has owned him. Probably isn't in peak condition having peaked for the Giro as well.
Sastre (unowned) - Lasts year's winner. Good rider, but lacks the team to win this time.
Leiphammer (Campbell) - Lots of talent, but has never put it together. Has tools to win, but is also playing 3rd banana on his team behind Contador and Armstrong.
And for a possible post-Sloshball event: the debut of Rick Ankiel wines at The Wine and Cheese Place! July 18th, 8-11 PM. Limited edition wine box comes complete with "The Winebat™ (Rick's game model Rawlings bat, hand-stained with "Hill Harvest Red" wine stain and autographed by Rick)."
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